Trump’s NATO exit plan is sending shockwaves through global alliances. His advisers want to give large parts of Ukraine to Russia. Trump plans to leave NATO on day one of his presidency. This move could speed up global de-dollarization and change how the Russia-Ukraine war unfolds. These changes threaten to reshape international security and economic power.
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How Trump’s NATO Exit Plan Could Shift Global Power & Boost De-Dollarization
Legal Pathways and Barriers
A 2023 law says Congress must approve Trump’s NATO exit plan. But legal experts see ways around it. “The law is not airtight,” notes Scott Anderson of the Brookings Institution. The Supreme Court rarely steps into fights between presidents and Congress. This could leave Congress powerless to stop a withdrawal. Former NATO Secretary General Anders Fogh Rasmussen admits that “a U.S. president can, as commander in chief, make life difficult for NATO.”
Territory Concessions and Peace Proposals
Trump has several plans to end the Russia-Ukraine war. Army Lieutenant-General Keith Kellogg wants to freeze current battle lines. His plan would end Ukraine’s hopes of joining NATO.
“Putin is in no hurry,” says former U.S. intelligence analyst Eugene Rumer. Russia already holds Crimea and much of eastern Ukraine. They control about 80% of Donbas and 70% of Zaporizhzhia and Kherson regions.
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De-Dollarization Acceleration
Trump’s NATO exit plan could push more countries away from the U.S. dollar. A weaker American presence in Europe might lead nations to abandon dollar-based systems. This change would affect global trade and defense agreements. It could strengthen other currency groups.
European Security Ramifications
The U.S. has over 100,000 troops in Europe. This number has grown by 20% since Russia invaded Ukraine. Former NATO Assistant Secretary General Camille Grande warns: “De facto the day you send the letter it is in a way effective immediately, because what you’re saying is ‘I’m no longer committed.'” Fewer U.S. troops could weaken European defense and NATO’s ability to deter threats.
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Congressional and Allied Response
Trump said he would “encourage” Russia to “do whatever the hell they want” to NATO allies who don’t spend enough on defense. Senator Chris Van Hollen states: “Following Trump’s threats in his first term, the Congress — recognizing the vital importance of NATO — acted on a bipartisan basis to prevent any future presidents from unilaterally withdrawing.” Yet Trump’s team has ignored similar rules before, like during the 2020 Open Skies Treaty withdrawal.
